Before the CX.......the constant upward trend of Trad prices dragged used prices along behind it. My S1 Roadster in 2005 was around 40k. After three years I bought it for £32500.
When the 3.7 was released I would have had to pay at least £25,000 extra which made no sense whatsoever. That's what led me to my 2012 Plus 4 as a second Morgan. That probably also makes no sense whatsoever, but hey!
Prices of trads follow trend and affordability, so the Plus 8, which had been the halo Morgan for so long, lost ground when the Aeros were announced, and more so when the Aero Plus 8 was announced.
Probably the 4/4 and Plus 4 prices are least affected by external influences, because they are the most numerous trads, and arguably with the least vices. Well, maybe not including the GDI!!
The CX market is different. It's almost a money no object market, where buyers will pay double trad money in order to get "modernity". This market should hold 3.7 Roadster prices well, because the 3.7 Roadster is a close competitor of the Plus Four, for a lot less money. The older Roadster will probably get dragged along with this, and my agreed valuation this year shows a hardening of values. The newest Trad Plus 8 is now 18 years old. That's an old car by any standard, and the market for any classic car over that age becomes more dependant on the dirty fingernail brigade, with a few rose tinted glasses thrown in.
I don't think future values are at all predictable. A lot depends on CX reliability over the next couple of years. The early cars with hard seats and the trad hood flaps are likely to become overlooked for the upgraded CXs, but will present a less expensive option for enthusiasts. Only time will tell.
