Talk Morgan Forums Community The Malvern Arms Coronavirus / Corona Virus

The facts from WHO thus far.

3.4% Mortality Rate estimate by the World Health Organization (WHO) as of March 3
In his opening remarks at the March 3 media briefing on Covid-19, WHO Director-General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus stated:
“Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died. By comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1% of those infected.” [13]
Initial estimate was 2%
Initially, the World Health Organization (WHO) had mentioned 2% as a mortality rate estimate in a press conference on Wednesday, January 29 [1][2] and again on February 10. However, on January 29 WHO specified that this was a very early and provisional estimate that might have changed. Surveillance was increasing, within China but also globally, but at the time it was said that:
We don't know how many were infected ("When you look at how many people have died, you need to look at how many people where infected, and right now we don't know that number. So it is early to put a percentage on that."[1][2]).
The only number currently known is how many people have died out of those who have been reported to the WHO.
It is therefore very early to make any conclusive statements about what the overall mortality rate will be for the novel coronavirus, according to the World Health Organization [1][2].

Age of Coronavirus Deaths
COVID-19 Fatality Rate by AGE:
*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%). This probability differs depending on the age group. The percentages shown below do not have to add up to 100%, as they do NOT represent share of deaths by age group. Rather, it represents, for a person in a given age group, the risk of dying if infected with COVID-19.
AGE
DEATH RATE
confirmed cases
DEATH RATE
all cases
80+ years old
21.9%
14.8%
70-79 years old

8.0%
60-69 years old

3.6%
50-59 years old

1.3%
40-49 years old

0.4%
30-39 years old

0.2%
20-29 years old

0.2%
10-19 years old

0.2%
0-9 years old

no fatalities

A sad day in Italy they have had 133 die today - take care out there Peter.[b][/b]

There have been comments on here from several members about there being too many people on the planet, well this is natural selection in the real world in action.

An Italian "in the zone" mechanic improvising as there is a shortage of face masks

.

Sorry, my typo. Death rate from flu is estimated at 0.06%.

Death rates are very difficult to pin down, flu is of course very poorly reported a it's so common, and COVID-19 is in very early days and has a very skewed distribution. Anyone under 60 has got practically nothing to worry about, but for people over 65 and especially those with other health issues it's a very different matter.

The WHO latest Sit Rep for those needing the facts that you maybe need to make informed decisions on travelling.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/science...s-disease-hotspot-first-local-breakdown/

It looks like it's worth avoiding Devon.

That's old news it's been here for over a week now, the school kids bought it back from their Italian skiing holidays.

It'll be good if a few stay away and leave the roads a bit clearer for Morganing over Easter..

Disneyland Paris has just advised that they've been hit by coronavirus.

We have 110 students and 13 staff there at the moment for a Maths Live event.....

Might be getting an early Easter holiday

Speaking of WHO be careful about fake phishing emails and emails containing links to Trojan Horses that are being sent regarding Coronavirus. We have been warned about them in Italy but it seems they are also being sent to other countries too.

https://www.2-spyware.com/crooks-pose-as-the-who-and-send-fake-coronavirus-awareness-messages

Thanks for the warning.

And Powick if the news on this morning's BBC H&W is anything to go by!

Well thay have just reopened my old grammar school in Churston. So it must be safe