How long before they realise EV pollute more over their lifetime than ICEs. Will this be like diesels?
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They don't, John. It takes about 25k miles before the breakpoint where EVs are overall cleaner than ICE cars.
https://energypost.eu/latest-data-shows-lifetime-emissions-of-evs-lower-than-petrol-diesel/
Even in the worst case scenario, an electric car with a battery produced in China and driven in Poland still emits 22% less CO2 than diesel and 28% less than petrol, the tool shows. In the best case scenario, an electric car with a battery produced in Sweden and driven in Sweden can emit 80% less CO2 than diesel and 81% less than petrol.
The one area where EVs score less well than traditional cars is in the production process, where emissions are currently around 30% higher for EVs than for petrol cars (at the average global electricity mix). The authors therefore warn about a possible short-term increase in emissions during the time-lag between producing EVs and reaping the overall benefits of them emitting fewer gases over their lifetime - that's where the 25k mile figure comes from as calculated by Auke Hoekstra of TU Eindhoven.
