IMHO The figures are not too representative of the current trend situation.
There is now clear evidence in the UK numbers of mortality falling faster amongst older, vaccinated, people. Using the latest, more rigorous, ONS data, over the 4 weeks from the peak of Covid deaths in January, deaths fell by 70% in the over 80s but only by 55% in the 60-70 age group. Mortality rates have been very consistent from week to week until now.
New cases per day have fallen by 90% from a peak on 10th January. The lockdown and some people having the vaccine has clearly worked, The Spring 2020 lockdown was more severe - but we saw a much slower decline in new cases. The UK's rate is now one of the lowest in Europe, 15% lower than even Germany.
Hospitalisation (current numbers in hospital) have fallen by over 75% since Jan 18th. Daily admissions over the last week are 83% lower than their peak.
Mortality has also dropped by 83%, since January.
It looks like the UK is possibly two weeks away from the total death rate falling to normal levels for the time of year. Two weeks ago it was 12.8% higher - the excess death rate. I'm assuming that Covid deaths fall by 25% per week for the next 2 weeks. That may be an under-estimate of the reduction.
The headline Covid deaths will still be approx. 600 each week, which sounds a lot. But it is less than half the normal daily rate for respiratory deaths at this time of year. Remembering that Covid deaths have replaced most other respiratory causes of deaths in the data.
