Originally Posted by PaulV
Originally Posted by Image
...the above is sobering viewing... transport uses nearly 3x the currently available energy from electricity... Even accounting for higher efficiency from EVs there's a massive shortfall in generating capacity..... ...Numbers don't add up.... ...

Great graphs, and the numbers add up fine wink as there isn't going to be some overnight switch to electric... although I think the new car sales transition to EV is going to be a lot faster than the car industry thought (just judging by aquaintances' interest in EV for new car purchases or leases). BUT new cars use a small proportion of the overall transport energy budget (vs lorries, buses, everyone's existing cars etc etc). Folks with on-street parking are not going to be transitioning to EV so much. And the overall desire to phase out gas CH is going to be a much bigger issue than transport...

PS: I wonder if the gas network will end up transitioning to biogas or even hyrdrogen? Is the latter even feasible?
https://www.energy.gov/eere/fuelcells/hydrogen-pipelines





[Linked Image]



Put another way.... Turn that little lot into Kwh and even halving it to be generous about better efficiency of EV.... Then think where that much extra electricity is going to be generated by the time fossil fuels are reduced to near nothing in less than 30 years.... All while replacing natural gas and struggling with obselete generation plant...... How long has it taken to not yet build one extra power station?? smile .... There's going to be a lot less driving being done if the targets are actually going to be met ... Enjoy private car ownership while you can

K

Last edited by Image; 15/02/20 11:24 PM.