Affordability will drive this change, which let's face it is political rather than environmental.

We live on a small estate which is primarily retired people, and there are very few new cars here. There is one EV and he has a charger on the wall, but he also has two old ICE vehicles and a caravan.

Most of the area close by is terraced houses, with minimal spaces, so all those people, if they could afford EV's would take up charging spaces during the day because they can't charge at home. But since the average age of cars on those streets is over ten years, it's not likely to be a problem, and only the cost of fuel will drive them out of ICE cars and probably off the road.

Politicians who ignore the less well off, will probably feel the consequences, especially if this involves closure of petrol stations, which then means more journeys further afield to fill up, which hardly helps emissions.

I don't think it's possible to predict how this will roll.

DaveW
'05 Red Roadster S1
'16 Yellow (Not the only) Narrow AR GDI Plus 4