It's not panicking, the situation is very serious. Currently we have approximately 460 cases in the UK and 8 deaths. I know this doesn't sound a lot just now but the number of infected individuals is doubling every three days and the strategies to stop it are limited. So in 21 days we could have around 30,000 cases if the mode of transmission doesn't change. The mortality rate in the UK is around 1.5% so we are looking at around 450 deaths by the beginning of April. Today there were 200 deaths in Italy alone. These numbers would overwhelm the NHS, especially the demand for ventilators and oxygen let alone manpower. Who knows what will happen to the transmission dynamics in a month or so -hopefully the virus will be slowed by modified behavior, increased ambient temperatures and UV light. In any case this is no time for complacency.

2009 4/4 sport