Originally Posted by Gambalunga
Originally Posted by Stewart S
I assume any developed country in the Southern hemisphere will cope better now as it’s their Summer and their health services are traditionally quieter which is why our governments clever plan is to delay and flatten out the curve so most of us will probably get it at some point to build up immunity but the majority of serious cases that need hospitalisation is pushed over a longer time and pushed further into the Spring and Summer when hospitals are not dealing with as many serious respiratory problems caused by Winter flus

If the our governments plan works, we will see far fewer deaths, a better organised health service with the capacity required to treat the vulnerable elderly population who might develop pneumonia

Sir Humphrey couldn't have come up with a better plan. We don't take any serious action now and we will wait until it is really necessary so as not to alarm people.

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In other words we wait until the virus becomes endemic in the population and then we isolate everyone when it is too late.


I think you’ve missed the point Peter

We are all going to get it eventually, (some will probably have natural immunity as in the case of most viruses) it’s like a cold, if we isolate for 10 weeks, we’ll just catch it after we come out of isolation. Whether a it’s a day after of 6 months after.

It’s not serious to the vast majority of people whichever model you use. Some have it now and probably don’t know they’ve got it, which is why it is spreading as a pandemic

The clever part and why the British scientists are completely ahead of the game is and this clamour for closing down everything now is not the answer in that it pushes a large spike in the serious cases that need hospitalisation to whenever it’s decided to open back up again

The way it’s been handled in the UK is that it just flattens and broadens the curve so that serious cases can be dealt with better and therefore should reduce deaths

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